DMX Draft Board

I score every rookie the same way back to 2000. Here's where that score has paid off in rookie drafts, and where it hasn't · What is DMX?

Note the DMX score and decile

D1 means a top-10% prospect at his position. DMX grades a player against his own position only, so don't compare scores across positions.

Then look at where he's being drafted

ADP tells you the round. The grid below shows how often his decile has hit in that round.

Then look for value in each round

A D1 still on the board after round 1 has hit 44% of the time in rounds 2 and 3. Everyone else picked there hit 23%. I'll take those odds every time.

What history says

2011–2023 rookie classes · 624 rookies · pick a round to read it

Where I hunt: a D1 after round 1"few" = fewer than 10 players behind that number

Where the market drafted this year's class

12-team rounds

QBRBWRTENumber after the name = ADP

This year's rankings by position

History: MFL rookie and keeper draft ADP, 2011–2023, with offensive rookies ranked among themselves. A hit is a top-12 QB or TE, top-24 RB or top-36 WR PPR season in his first three years. I also tested the score on classes it was never fit to: D1s in rounds 2 and 3 hit 43% against 23%.