Top 30 Veteran Dynasty Wide Receivers - Dynasty Football Fan

Top 30 Veteran Dynasty Wide Receivers

Top 30 Veteran Dynasty Wide ReceiversFeb 5, 2017; Houston, TX, USA; Atlanta Falcons wide receiver Julio Jones (11) catches a pass against New England Patriots cornerback Eric Rowe (25) in the fourth quarter during Super Bowl LI at NRG Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

Predicting future production certainly is not easy. That’s what makes dynasty football fantasy so fun. Taking advantage of market perceptions and getting players that outperform what you paid for them can make or break your team. When it comes to veteran production, I like to look at their last three years and project out there next three for comparison. I also look at age and DMX score to round out my thinking. Below are my projections and ranking for the top 30 veteran dynasty wide receivers. These projections take into account standard, non-ppr fantasy production and projects out three years. Certainly, there are some surprises in here and some expectations that have yet to be fulfilled.

For example, Jordy Nelson, despite his advance age for NFL WR purposes, is ranked 11th on this list. You’d think he’d be lower but the last two years he was on the field he produced top 3 fantasy stats. There is no reason to believe he won’t do that again in 2017, barring injury. I do project a drop off into WR2 territory in 2018 and 2019, though over a three year time horizon he’s still a premier producer. Take advantage of his age and acquire him cheaply if you can, it will be worth it.

Michael Thomas, Devante Parker, Jamison Crowder, Tyreek Hill and Robert Woods also have been projected well above what their history provides. This is where Dynasty MetriX comes in. All of these WRs have very good DMX scores, solidly above zero, and all are in great situations. Whether they take advantage of it or not is anyone’s guess, but I am certainly bullish on them.

Rank Name Last 3 Years Next 3 Years Age  DMX Comments
1 Julio Jones                 609                   660    28.4     1.52 Most talented WR at his peak age
2 Michael Thomas                 164                   660    24.4     0.86 Projects as WR1 in prolific offense
3 Mike Evans                 520                   645    23.9     1.33 Should maintain current level of production
4 Odell Beckham Jr.                 622                   622    24.7     0.08 Lots of mouths to feed but his is the biggest
5 Antonio Brown                 694                   606    29.0   (0.48) Risk of Big Ben retirement looms large here
6 DeAndre Hopkins                 491                   600    25.1     0.92 QB is only thing holding him from the top 5
7 Amari Cooper                 282                   595    23.1     1.60 Will establish himself this year
8 Tyreek Hill                 139                   575    23.4     1.13 Perfect opportunity and talent to succeed
9 A.J. Green                 444                   570    29.0     1.08 Bounce back year, still in his prime
10 Ty Hilton                 500                   570    27.7     0.56 Will have better stats with healthy Luck
11 Jordy Nelson                 438                   549    32.1     1.07 Despite coming drop-off, still quality
12 Allen Robinson                 415                   540    24.0     1.37 Bortles is the risk here
13 Brandin Cooks                 424                   540    23.9     1.79 Hard to predict but my projection is optimistic
14 Jamison Crowder                 195                   540    24.3     0.49 Nobody will see this coming
15 Davante Adams                 283                   540    24.8     1.17 Should take over for Jordy at WR1 eventually
16 DeVante Parker                 166                   540    24.8     1.08 Obviously, projection shows he estabilishes himself
17 Terrelle Pryor                 139                   520    28.5   (0.37) May bounce around but talented at WR
18 Doug Baldwin                 454                   516    28.8   (0.46) Hard to see him going nuts in future
19 Martavis Bryant                 224                   480    25.7     0.77 He sure looks contrite and ready to perform
20 Eric Decker                 330                   472    30.5     0.76 Perfect landing spot to keep TD machine rolling
21 Dez Bryant                 418                   450    28.8     1.23 Hampered by run-first offense
22 Alshon Jeffery                 375                   450    27.5     0.91 Hard to see him becoming elite
23 Stefon Diggs                 207                   450    23.8     0.61 Should at least maintain current performance
24 John Brown                 306                   450    27.5     0.59 Bounces back in a big way this year
25 Robert Woods                 237                   450    25.6     0.83 Should establish himself as WR1 in LA
26 Michael Crabtree                 389                   435    29.9     1.04 In a great situation with stability at QB
27 Demaryius Thomas                 525                   435    29.6     0.77 QB is significantly holding him back
28 Kelvin Benjamin                 287                   430    26.5     0.49 Risky but still young and talented
29 Will Fuller                   75                   425    23.6     1.05 Will establish as solid WR2 in Houston
30 Sterling Shepard                 119                   420    23.6     1.05 Will establish as solid WR2 in NY

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