What I Got Right, What I Got Wrong 2016

As with any expert my job is to take a stand on the quality of players available.  Looking back at my articles on DynastyFootballFan.com leading up to the 2016 season, there are opinions that were correct and some that were wrong.  What I got right, What I got wrong 2016 is a look back at the good, bad and ugly of the 2016 season and what I learned from it.  In no particular order…

I was right about Mike Wallace.  What I saw last year was a guy in a couple of bad situations on previous teams that still had the skills that made him a top 10 WR in Pittsburgh.  As I suspected, he didn’t go crazy, but if you picked him up as a free agent you got low end WR2/high end WR3 production and that is definitely not bad off of the waivers.  Can he do it again next year?  Yes, I think he can.  He will most likely be surpassed by Brett Perriman next season, but if you picked him up, holding him for another year of WR2/WR3 production is definitely worth it.  If you can trade him for a second or third round draft pick, even better.

I was wrong about Thomas Rawls.  He wasn’t ready to start the season.  Once he did he got hurt again and when he came back late in the season he had only 1 double-digit production game and a bunch of duds.  If you picked him up, you got very little out of him.  He’s not a guy I would break the bank for in 2017, but honestly, I’m a hold on Rawls.  C.J. Prosise will definitely cut into his production next year (at least) but he’s not being run off by Seattle like Christine Michael.  He’ll have a full year to rest and come back in 2017 at full health.  The biggest impediment to his success is his offensive line.  They are a rag tag bunch and if Seattle doesn’t invest in better linemen this off-season, I’ll have a hard time being comfortable with any of these Seattle RBs doing well consistently next season.

I was right about Laquon Treadwell.  While the jury is certainly on him long term, he was clearly not ready for prime-time.  He has below average measurables for a WR his size and if he does gain success in the NFL, it will have to come with a lot of hard work.  I wish him well, though don’t expect much.

I was wrong about Kenyan Drake, with a caveat.  Drake did show development this year though he started much slower than I thought he would.  At the time I wrote that I wouldn’t expect him to surpass Ajayi and as things turned out he didn’t and most likely won’t for a while.  What he will do is continue to develop into a solid backup RB that can play on some passing downs, return kicks and be a solid backup if Ajayi does get injured.

I was right about Keanu Neal.  Neal has dominated as a rookie and quickly became the enforcer in this young and developing Atlanta defense.  As a Gator fan I watched Neal do great things in college and I knew that he was NFL ready and only needed the right landing spot.  When Atlanta picked him in the first round, knowing what they wanted to accomplish with their defense, I knew Neal would thrive.  Despite some injury issues here and there he’s been an IDP standout from the get go and if you picked him up you will enjoy him as an IDP asset for many years.

I was wrong about Tyler Boyd. While he didn’t go nuts his rookie year, he had 661 total yards and a TD as a rookie which is pretty good.  He didn’t quite step up as a rookie when A.J. Green got hurt but he certainly looks better than I expected him to be.  Enough so that I can admit I was wrong on him.  He’ll never be a WR1, especially in the situation he’s in at Cincy but a solid WR2 is possible.

I was right about Jordan Howard.  Oh boy was I right!  Howard had a great rookie year and proved that he is a quality three down back.  I would suspect that he will be a top 10 RB pick next year and go on to a great fantasy career (and NFL career of course!).  If you picked up Howard in the second round of your rookie draft you are laughing all the way to the bank.

So, there you have it.  I took a stand on a bunch of players last year.  I won some and I lost some.  I learned a bit and I hope you did too!

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