2019 Dynasty Rookie Draft Over/Under Values

Check out the 2019 Dynasty Rookie Draft Guide to learn more about Dynasty MetriX (DMX Score)

In every rookie draft there are players that end up being overvalued and undervalued. You don’t really know that until AFTER you’ve drafted and see a player perform though, right?

Wrong! DMX allows you to look at the value of each prospect and compare it to current ADP to determine where you may get undervalued players as your rookie draft progresses.

The list below shows 2019 rookie prospects in order of they’re Value Based Drafting Dynasty MetriX Score (VBD). This is just their DMX score that has had a VBD-based adjustment to it. the raw DMX score and appropriate prospect decile are in columns 3 and 4.

the DMX VBDs are then ranked and compared to the ADP ranking to get a Rank Delta column to the far right. If the Rank Delta is negative, the player is overvalued (ADP Rank > DMX Rank) and if the Rank Delta is positive the player is undervalued (DMX Rank > ADP Rank).

The ADP is current rookie only drafts from MFL.

As you’ll see below, Miles Boykin and Benny Snell are currently very undervalued in ADP. They are second round values you can get in the third round.

Mecole Hardman and Dexter Williams are also very undervalued as they are third round prospects you can get in the fourth round today.

On the flip side, Kelvin Harmon, Deebo Samuel, Irv Smith Jr. and JJ Arcega-Whiteside are players that are currently overvalued in ADP and are being drafted a bit high based on DMX scoring. The full list is below for you to check out. You can also learn more about DMX here.

NamePOSDMXDecilesVBDDMX RankADP Rank Delta
Josh JacobsRB    1.18 2   1.32 121
N’Keal HarryWR    1.73 1   1.29 21-1
Kyler MurrayQB    1.77 1   1.28 363
David MontgomeryRB    1.11 2   1.24 473
Noah FantTE    2.01 1   1.24 583
D.K. MetcalfWR    1.66 1   1.22 64-2
Darrell HendersonRB    1.06 2   1.19 7147
Hakeem ButlerWR    1.57 1   1.13 83-5
A.J. BrownWR    1.56 1   1.12 95-4
Miles BoykinWR    1.56 1   1.12 102717
T.J. HockensonTE    1.86 1   1.09 119-2
Benny Snell Jr.RB    0.95 3   1.08 123119
Miles SandersRB    0.95 3   1.08 1310-3
Dwayne HaskinsQB    1.55 1   1.07 14151
Devin SingletaryRB    0.87 3   1.00 15238
Parris CampbellWR    1.39 1   0.95 16160
Marquise BrownWR    1.38 1   0.94 1712-5
Mecole HardmanWR    1.37 1   0.93 184830
Damien HarrisRB    0.79 3   0.93 1913-6
Trayveon WilliamsRB    0.78 3   0.92 20255
Andy IsabellaWR    1.34 2   0.90 21210
Mike WeberRB    0.73 3   0.86 22308
Dexter WilliamsRB    0.69 3   0.83 236037
Drew LockQB    1.29 2   0.81 24240
Elijah HolyfieldRB    0.66 3   0.80 25294
Kelvin HarmonWR    1.13 2   0.69 2611-15
Daniel JonesQB    1.17 2   0.68 27325
Deebo SamuelWR    1.06 2   0.62 2817-11
Irv Smith Jr.TE    1.36 1   0.59 2919-10
Anthony JohnsonWR    1.00 2   0.56 305727
J.J. Arcega-WhitesideWR    0.94 3   0.50 3118-13
Darius SlaytonWR    0.93 3   0.49 327947
Dillon MitchellWR    0.92 3   0.48 338148
Caleb WilsonTE    1.24 1   0.47 34439
Karan HigdonRB    0.31 4   0.45 355015
Damarea CrockettRB    0.29 4   0.42 36415
Lil’Jordan HumphreyWR    0.85 3   0.41 376124
Rodney AndersonRB    0.27 4   0.41 3820-18
Jakobi MeyersWR    0.81 3   0.37 39NRN/A
Jarrett StidhamQB    0.84 3   0.35 406424
Myles GaskinRB    0.18 4   0.31 4138-3
Terry McLaurinWR    0.74 3   0.30 4237-5
Travis HomerRB    0.16 4   0.29 43474
Ryan FulseRB    0.14 4   0.27 44NRN/A
Donald ParhamTE    1.03 2   0.26 45NRN/A
Alex BarnesRB    0.11 5   0.24 4635-11
Antoine WesleyWR    0.68 3   0.24 477225
Will GrierQB    0.72 3   0.23 4836-12
Riley RidleyWR    0.62 3   0.18 4926-23
David SillsWR    0.60 3   0.16 506313
Bryce LoveRB  (0.02)5   0.12 5128-23
Emanuel HallWR    0.51 4   0.07 5234-18
Justice HillRB  (0.10)5   0.03 5322-31
Preston WilliamsWR    0.46 4   0.02 54551
Kaden SmithTE    0.79 3   0.01 557823
Tyree JacksonQB    0.49 4       –   5751-6
Jalen HurdWR    0.44 4       –   5842-16
Jalen HurdWR    0.44 4       –   5942-17
Josh OliverTE    0.77 3       –   56NRN/A
Jalin MooreRB  (0.13)6       –   608828

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.