2016 Dynasty Outlook: Buffalo Bills

With the dog days of summer kicking in and training camps still a month or so away, let’s take this time to review each team and provide a dynasty outlook. In alphabetical order, we’ll point out their dynasty relevant players, both offense and IDP, as well as some notes on the long term arch of each offense and defense we’re talking about. Below is a convenient set of links to keep track of each article we produce in this series. We’re going alphabetical, so next up is Buffalo.

AFC: BAL | BUF | CIN | CLE | DEN | HOU | IND | JAX | KC | MIA | NE | NYJ | OAK | PIT |SD | TEN

NFC: ARI | ATL | CAR | CHI | DAL | DET | GBP | LAR | MIN | NOS | NYG | PHI | SF | SEA| TB | WAS

Offensive Outlook

Buffalo’s offense is a bit of an enigma.  They have some talent in Shady McCoy and Sammy Watkins and are as close to a run first, plod along scheme that the NFL has, finishing with a 52%/48% run/pass ratio last year, good for tops in the league.  They are not going to change that up much this year with Tyrod Taylor at the helm.

Dynasty Stars – Guys who you want on your team…Period.

Sammy Watkins, WR – I put Sammy here a bit begrudgingly in acknowledgement of the talent and youth he brings to the table.  For as high a draft pick as he was (2014 4th pick) he’s yet to truly breakout to a level that he’s capable to perform.  It’s not all his fault, injuries and average QB play have done him in, but that’s not going to end this year either.  On the bright side, this is his 3rd season and he should continue to develop.

Serviceable Veterans – Guys who could help you short term.

LeSean McCoy, RB – At 28 and on the downside of his career, McCoy does not elicit the excitement he once did.  That said, his running mates are knuckleheads (Karlos Williams suspended 4 games, Jonathan Williams, DWI) so there’s a chance if he stays healthy he carries a bigger load this year.

Robert Woods, WR – Woods is a bit underrated in my eyes and could be a solid WR3 on a dynasty team.  He’s only 25 and is the clear #2 in this offense.

Charles Clay, TE – He was fortunate to get a big payday in free agency but as a Dolphin fan who watched him develop, he really is what he is at this point.  He’s dangerous at times, invisible at others.

Tyrod Taylor, QB – Taylor is young but an experienced backup in the NFL, he has developed to the point that he can make the NFL throws but was not consistent enough to be super excited about.  He also plays in a run heavy offenses.  He’s a good stash for dynasty, but the long-term future is uncertain.

Leonard Hankerson, WR – Hank is tough to read.  He has the size to succeed but has bounced around the bottom of rosters for the last 3 years.  Worth a stash for another year but if he doesn’t break out soon, the writing is on the wall.

Dynasty Sleepers – High potential, low production players to consider.

Karlos Williams, RB – Coming into training camp 25 lbs. over-weight and getting suspended for substance abuse is not the way to endear yourself.  You can’t drop him from your dynasty team but the future is murky with Williams now.  If he can focus off the field he has the chance to be another Jeremy Hill type.

Jonathan Williams, RB – It’s not even training camp yet and the guy has a DWI.  This is a big red flag for sure and will drop him down some rookie draft boards, though it’s too early to throw in the towel on him.

Cardale Jones, QB – Is certainly a project, but an intriguing one.  He’s got an NFL arm and size but needs help with reading defenses, progressions and footwork.  If you like to buy and hold for several years, here’s your prime candidate.

Dynasty Frauds – Players who should not be considered in dynasty.

EJ Manual, Mike Gillislee, Marquise Goodwin, Greg Salas, Marcus Easley, Jim Dray

IDP Outlook

Buffalo’s defense is much more fantasy friendly than it’s offense. The Bils plays an aggressive 3-4 defense and have typically had strong inside LB play.

IDP Stars- Guys who you want on your team…Period.

Preston Brown, ILB – At 24, Brown is in prime position to be a top 10 fantasy producer over the next few years.  He’s the centerpiece of this defense and though he wasn’t highly drafted (3rd round) he has proven able to produce.

Serviceable Veterans – Guys who could help you short term.

Eric Weddle, SS – Weddle moved to Baltimore from San Diego during the off-season and while the Raven’s safeties have not produced much fantasy hype since Ed Reed left, Weddle brings another dimension to the table. Barring injury, he’s a top safety producer. He’s 31 now, so only a few years left, but those years project to be pretty good ones.

Zachary Orr, Arthur Brown, Albert McClellan, ILB – It’s impossible to predict at this stage who will take over the other ILB spot next to Mosely. Whoever does will be a solid but not spectacular IDP play.

Terrell Suggs, Elvis Dumervil, OLB – The two starting OLBs are big names but not big producers in IDP play. With their sacks coming in bunches they will have good weeks but be almost impossible to predict. I usually stay away from 3-4 OLBs but if you like one of these guys as depth, I can see that.

IDP Sleepers – High potential, low production players to consider.

Kamalei Correa, OLB/ILB – The Rookie has been learning both OLB and ILB in OTAs so far this summer (enough acronyms for you?). If he jumps Orr/Brown/McClellan to take the ILB spot next to Mosley, he’s a great buy low.

IDP Frauds – Players who should not be considered in dynasty.

Matt Elam, Brandon Williams, Timmy Jernigan, Lawrence Guy, Jimmy Smith, Shareece Wright, Ladarius Webb

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