2016 Dynasty Outlook: Baltimore Ravens

With the dog days of summer kicking in and training camps still a month or so away, let’s take this time to review each team and provide a dynasty outlook.  In alphabetical order, we’ll point out their dynasty relevant players, both offense and IDP, as well as some notes on the long term arch of each offense and defense we’re talking about.  Below is a convenient set of links to keep track of each article we produce in this series.  We’re going alphabetical, so next up is Baltimore.

AFC: BAL | BUF | CIN | CLE | DEN | HOU | IND | JAX | KC | MIA | NE | NYJ | OAK | PIT |SD | TEN

NFC: ARI | ATL | CAR | CHI | DAL | DET | GBP | LAR | MIN | NOS | NYG | PHI | SF | SEA| TB | WAS

Offensive Outlook

Marc Trestman is the Offensive Coordinator for the 2nd season in Baltimore.  Typically the second year of an offense is a growth year where players are more comfortable with the OC and the plan.  This bodes well for the Baltimore offense.  Trestman has a history of forgoing the run and passing a lot.  Last year Baltimore had a 37/63 run/pass ratio.  That’s not very balanced.  They have talked in the off-season about running the ball more, though when the chips are down Trestman can’t help himself.

Dynasty Stars – Guys who you want on your team…Period.

 

Eeks, there are really no dynasty stars on the Ravens roster as it stands today.  Perriman is hurt again, Kenneth Dixon has yet to play, Javorius Allen has yet to breakout, Flacco is a serial QB2, Steve Smith is 37 and winding down and Forsett is 30.

Serviceable Veterans – Guys who could help you short term.

Joe Flacco, QB – At 31, Flacco pretty much is what he is.  He was injured last year and in year 2 of the Trestman offense he should improve his potential numbers, but not enough to be considered elite.  He’s a solid QB2 for the next 5-7 years with the chance of an upside year once or twice.

Steve Smith, WR – Smith is a warrior for sure.  It’s tough to come back from Achilles’ injuries but to do it at 37 is a real challenge.  It’s hard to doubt Smith’s heart but it’s not hard to doubt his body.  Despite him coming back so he doesn’t leave the NFL injured, I just don’t see how he’s more than a WR2 this year and retired the next.  From a dynasty perspective, he could help you with depth this year but that’s about it.

Ben Watson, TE – Another ancient player.  Ben Watson broke out big time in New Orleans last year but it’s hard to see him doing the same thing in Baltimore.  He’ll be solid but unspectacular most likely.

Justin Forsett, RB – Forsett will begin the year as starter and most likely sees 10-15 touches a game.  If injuries mount behind him he may improve on that.  If Allen or Dixon prove worthy you could see a changing of the guard mid-year.  Forsett can literally be projected anywhere from an RB1 as he did 2 years ago to RB3.  Did I mention he’s 30 years old?

Mike Wallace, WR –

Dynasty Sleepers – High potential, low production players to consider.

Javiorius Allen, RB – Allen played well when Forsett was injured last year but he didn’t break the mold or anything.  It will be interesting to see where the camp battle goes between Allen and Dixon.  My guess is Allen is a career RB2/3 but this off-season will tell us more.

Kenneth Dixon, RB – The rookie really is perfect for this offense.  He is elusive but can cut inside, he has great hands and catches out of the backfield well.  The only thing missing is NFL experience.  If he has a strong training camp, look for Dixon to grow his production as the year progresses.  Baltimore won’t start a rookie to start the year unless he’s a first round pick.  Dixon will get his chance but most likely in year 2 or 3.

Kamar Aiken, WR – a UDFA that broke out last year, many believe he will fade away as Smith, Perriman and Wallace take over.  Two of those three are injured though and it seems more an more likely Aiken will be part of this offense.  He’s a great sleeper candidate.

Chris Moore, WR – A 4th round rookie, Moore is not expected to contribute right away but he’s an interesting sleeper candidate who isn’t being drafted in rookie drafts very high.  A good 3 year stash candidate.

Maxx Williams, TE – Williams must share the field with Watson, Crockett Gilmore and Dennis Pitta.  That will make his near-term production suffer but don’t let that stop you from holding on to him.  Once he takes over, whenever that may be, he has the ability to be a TE1 in this league.

Keenan Reynolds, WR – He’s a converted QB that ran an option offense at Navy, so he’s more like a converted RB.  Either way, it will take a while for him to develop.

Dynasty Frauds – Players who should not be considered in dynasty.

Ryan Mallett, Trent Richardson, Terrence West, Lorenzo Taliaferro, Michael Campanaro, Dennis Pitta, Crockett Gilmore, Darren Waller – These are the best of the rest on offense but none of them will be fantasy relevant, even with injury to core players.

IDP Outlook

Baltimore plays an aggressive 3-4 defense led by Defensive Coordinator Dean Pees.  Typically they have mountains up front at DT to hold the line and very athletic OLBs to rush the passer.  ILB is their most productive position.

IDP Stars- Guys who you want on your team…Period.

C.J. Mosley, ILB – At 24, Mosley has already proven to be an elite fantasy LB.  There is nothing more to say, if you have him you’re happy, if you don’t you’re envious.  Get him if you can.

Serviceable Veterans – Guys who could help you short term.

Eric Weddle, SS – Weddle moved to Baltimore from San Diego during the off-season and while the Raven’s safeties have not produced much fantasy hype since Ed Reed left, Weddle brings another dimension to the table.  Barring injury, he’s a top safety producer.  He’s 31 now, so only a few years left, but those years project to be pretty good ones.

Zachary Orr, Arthur Brown, Albert McClellan, ILB – It’s impossible to predict at this stage who will take over the other ILB spot next to Mosely.  Whoever does will be a solid but not spectacular IDP play.

Terrell Suggs, Elvis Dumervil, OLB – The two starting OLBs are big names but not big producers in IDP play.  With their sacks coming in bunches they will have good weeks but be almost impossible to predict.  I usually stay away from 3-4 OLBs but if you like one of these guys as depth, I can see that.

IDP Sleepers – High potential, low production players to consider.

Kamalei Correa, OLB/ILB – The Rookie has been learning both OLB and ILB in OTAs so far this summer (enough acronyms for you?).  If he jumps Orr/Brown/McClellan to take the ILB spot next to Mosley, he’s a great buy low.

 

IDP Frauds – Players who should not be considered in dynasty.

Matt Elam, Brandon Williams, Timmy Jernigan, Lawrence Guy,  Jimmy Smith, Shareece Wright, Ladarius Webb

2 Comments

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.